| 1. Identity statement | ||||
| Reference Type | Journal Article | |||
| Site | mtc-m21c.sid.inpe.br | |||
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Identifier | 8JMKD3MGP3W34R/43BL3FE | |||
| Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2020/10.01.14.44 (restricted access) | |||
| Last Update | 2020:10.01.14.44.05 (UTC) simone | |||
| Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2020/10.01.14.44.05 | |||
| Metadata Last Update | 2024:01.23.16.36.32 (UTC) simone | |||
| DOI | 10.1007/s11069-020-04097-3 | |||
| ISSN | 0921-030X | |||
| Citation Key | MarengoCNRMTSAACDÁ:2020:AsDrDr | |||
| Title | Assessing drought in the drylands of northeast Brazil under regional warming exceeding 4 degrees C  | |||
| Year | 2020 | |||
| Month | Sept. | |||
| Access Date | 2024, May 18 | |||
| Type of Work | journal article | |||
| Secondary Type | PRE PI | |||
| Number of Files | 1 | |||
| Size | 4064 KiB | |||
| 2. Context | ||||
| Author | 1 Marengo, Jose Antonio 2 Cunha, Ana Paula M. A. 3 Nobre, Carlos Afonso 4 Ribeiro Neto, Germano G. 5 Magalhães, Antonio R. 6 Torres, Roger R. 7 Sampaio, Gilvan 8 Alexandre, Felipe 9 Alves, Lincoln Muniz 10 Cuartas, Luz A. 11 Deusdará, Karinne Reis Leal 12 Álvala, Regina Célia S. | |||
| Resume Identifier | 1 2 3 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JGQ7 | |||
| Group | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 CGCPT-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 8 CGCPT-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 9 COCST-COCST-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR | |||
| Affiliation | 1 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN) 2 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN) 3 Universidade de São Paulo (USP) 4 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN) 5 Centro de Estudos Estratégicos (CGEE) 6 Universidade Federa de Itajubá (UNIFEI) 7 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 8 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 9 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 10 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN) 11 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN) 12 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN) | |||
| Author e-Mail Address | 1 jose.marengo@cemaden.gov.br 2 ana.cunha@cemaden.gov.br 3 cnobre.res@gmail.com 4 germanogn@hotmail.com 5 amagalhaes@cgee.gov.br 6 torres.fsico@gmail.com 7 gilvan.sampaio@inpe.br 8 felipe.alexandre@inpe.br 9 lincoln.alves@inpe.br 10 adriana.cuartas@cemaden.gov.br 11 karinne.deusdara@yahoo.com.br 12 regina.alvala@cemaden.gov.br | |||
| Journal | Natural Hazards | |||
| Volume | 103 | |||
| Number | 2 | |||
| Pages | 2589-2611 | |||
| Secondary Mark | A1_ENGENHARIAS_I A2_GEOGRAFIA A2_CIÊNCIAS_AGRÁRIAS_I B1_INTERDISCIPLINAR B1_GEOCIÊNCIAS | |||
| History (UTC) | 2020-10-01 14:44:05 :: simone -> administrator :: 2020-10-01 14:44:06 :: administrator -> simone :: 2020 2020-10-01 14:47:14 :: simone -> administrator :: 2020 2020-10-05 12:11:09 :: administrator -> simone :: 2020 2020-12-14 14:52:51 :: simone -> administrator :: 2020 2022-01-04 01:35:25 :: administrator -> simone :: 2020 | |||
| 3. Content and structure | ||||
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master | |||
| Content Stage | completed | |||
| Transferable | 1 | |||
| Content Type | External Contribution | |||
| Version Type | publisher | |||
| Keywords | Vegetation stress hazard Climate change Caatinga Northeast Brazil Climate change impacts Risk of aridization | |||
| Abstract | Historically, during periods of extreme drought, food security in the drylands of the semiarid region of Northeast Brazil (NEB) is under severe risk due to agricultural collapse. The drought that started in 2012 continues to highlight the vulnerability of this region, and arid conditions have been detected during the last years mainly in the central semiarid region, covering almost 2% of the NEB. Climate projections show an increase in the area under water stress condition, covering 49% and 54% of the NEB region by 2700 and 2100, respectively, with a higher likelihood with warming above 4 degrees C. The projections of vegetative stress conditions derived from the empirical model for Vegetation Health Index (VHI) are consistent with projections from vegetation models, where semi-desert types typical of arid conditions would replace the current semiarid bushland vegetation ("caatinga") by 2100. Due to the impacts of the 2012-2017 drought, public policies have been implemented to reduce social and economic vulnerability for small farmers but are not enough as poor population continues to be affected. In the long term, to make the semiarid less vulnerable to drought, strengthened integrated water resources management and a proactive drought policy are needed to restructure the economy. Integrating drought monitoring and seasonal climate forecasting provides means of assessing impacts of climate variability and change, leading to disaster risk reduction through early warning. Lastly, there is an urgent need for integrated assessments because the possibility that under permanent drought conditions with warming above 4 degrees C, arid conditions would prevail in NEB since 2060. | |||
| Area | MET | |||
| Arrangement 1 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > CGCPT > Assessing drought in... | |||
| Arrangement 2 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > COCST > Assessing drought in... | |||
| doc Directory Content | access | |||
| source Directory Content | there are no files | |||
| agreement Directory Content |
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| 4. Conditions of access and use | ||||
| Language | en | |||
| Target File | Marengo2020_Article_AssessingDroughtInTheDrylandsO.pdf | |||
| User Group | simone | |||
| Reader Group | administrator simone | |||
| Visibility | shown | |||
| Archiving Policy | denypublisher denyfinaldraft12 | |||
| Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 | |||
| Update Permission | not transferred | |||
| 5. Allied materials | ||||
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3EUPEJL 8JMKD3MGPCW/3F3T29H | |||
| Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2013/10.06.18.03 5 sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2013/10.19.20.40 2 sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.42.59 2 | |||
| Dissemination | WEBSCI | |||
| Host Collection | urlib.net/www/2017/11.22.19.04 | |||
| 6. Notes | ||||
| Notes | Prêmio CAPES Elsevier 2023 - ODS 2: Fome zero e Agricultura sustentável Prêmio CAPES Elsevier 2023 - ODS 15: Vida terrestre | |||
| Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url | |||
| 7. Description control | ||||
| e-Mail (login) | simone | |||
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